User menu

Accès à distance ? S'identifier sur le proxy UCLouvain

Using surrogate data in population viability analysis : the case of the critically endangered cranberry fritillary butterfly

Primary tabs

Schtickzelle, Nicolas [UCL] Wallis De Vries, Michiel, F. [UCL] Baguette, Michel [UCL]

Population viability analyses (PVA) are central tools for the management of threatened populations. However, the parameterisation of effective PVA models is very demanding in high quality data, which are often impossible to collect on endangered populations. Here we propose the use of a generalisation strategy to bypass this limitation: management measures for an endangered metapopulation of the cranberry fritillary butterfly in the Netherlands are evaluated with RAMAS/GIS by using parameters estimated from a healthier metapopulation in Belgium. The Belgian metapopulation seems viable, with stable abundance and number of local populations, despite their erratic dynamics, whereas the Dutch metapopulation shows a continuous decline in the course of time, with many vacant habitat patches. Simulations of various scenarios indicated that (1) large scale restoration of habitat patches would be necessary to ensure long-term survival of the species in the Netherlands as not enough suitable habitats are currently remaining; and that (2) global warming is expected to put a major threat on both metapopulations by reducing the growth rate of this glacial relict species, aud/or increasing environmental stochasticity (amplified climatic variations).

Document type Article de périodique (Journal article) – Article de recherche
Access type Accès restreint
Publication date 2005
Language Anglais
Journal information "Oikos : a journal of ecology" - Vol. 109, no. 1, p. 89-100 (2005)
Peer reviewed yes
Publisher Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd. ((United Kingdom) Oxford)
issn 0030-1299
e-issn 1600-0706
Publication status Publié
Affiliation UCL - SC/BIOL - Département de biologie
Keywords 3123
Links
  1. Akçakaya, RAMAS/GIS: Linking spatial data with population viability analysis (version 4.0) (2002)
  2. Akçakaya, Ecol. Bull., 48, 9 (2000)
  3. Baguette, Ecography, 26, 153 (2003)
  4. Baguette, Mém. Soc. R. Belge d'Entomol., 35, 591 (1992)
  5. Baguette Michel, Schtickzelle Nicolas, Local population dynamics are important to the conservation of metapopulations in highly fragmented landscapes : Local population dynamics and conservation, 10.1046/j.1365-2664.2003.00791.x
  6. Barascud, J. Evol. Biol., 12, 697 (1999)
  7. Bart, Ecol. Appl., 5, 411 (1995)
  8. Beissinger, Population viability analysis (2002)
  9. Beissinger, J. Wildlife Manage., 62, 821 (1998)
  10. Brook, Nature, 404, 385 (2000)
  11. Burnham Kenneth P., Anderson David R., Model Selection and Inference, ISBN:9781475729191, 10.1007/978-1-4757-2917-7
  12. Coulson, Trends Ecol. Evol., 16, 219 (2001)
  13. Darwin, On the origin of species by means of natural selection or the preservation of favored races in the struggle for life (1859)
  14. Dumont, Gérer la nature? Travaux Service de Conservation de la Nature n°15, 359 (1990)
  15. Dunning, Ecol. Appl., 5, 3 (1995)
  16. Foley, Conserv. Biol., 8, 124 (1994)
  17. Frankham, Nature, 419, 18 (2002)
  18. Hanski, Population viability analysis, 86 (2002)
  19. Hanski, Ecology, 81, 239 (2000)
  20. Kudrna, Butterflies of Europe, vol. 8: aspects of the conservation of butterflies in Europe (1986)
  21. Lande, Population viability analysis, 18 (2002)
  22. Linacre, Conserv. Biol., 18, 768 (2004)
  23. Lindenmayer, Ecol. Lett., 6, 41 (2003)
  24. McCarthy, Conserv. Biol., 17, 982 (2003)
  25. McLaughlin, Proc. Natl Acad. Sci., 99, 6070 (2002)
  26. Mennechez, Oikos, 106, 243 (2004)
  27. Morris, Quantitative conservation biology. Theory and practice of population viability analysis (2002)
  28. Mousson, Biol. Conserv., 87, 285 (1999)
  29. Petit, Oikos, 92, 491 (2001)
  30. Pimm, Nature, 403, 843 (2000)
  31. Ralls Katherine, Taylor Barbara L., How Viable Is Population Viability Analysis?, The Ecological Basis of Conservation (1997) ISBN:9781461377504 p.228-235, 10.1007/978-1-4615-6003-6_23
  32. Reed, Conserv. Biol., 16, 7 (2002)
  33. Schtickzelle, N. . 2003. Metapopulation dynamics and viability of the bog fritillary butterfly Proclossiana eunomia PhD thesis, Université catholique de Louvain.
  34. Schtickzelle, J. Anim. Ecol., 72, 533 (2003)
  35. Schtickzelle, Oikos, 104, 277 (2004)
  36. Semlitsch, Conserv. Biol., 12, 1129 (1998)
  37. Thomas, Biol. Conserv., 27, 195 (1983)
  38. Travis, Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B, 270, 467 (2003)
  39. Van Swaay, Beschermingsplan veenvlinders 2001-2005 (2001)
  40. Vandewoestijne, Heredity, 89, 439 (2002)
  41. Wahlberg Niklas, Klemetti Teemu, Selonen Vesa, Hanski Ilkka, Metapopulation structure and movements in five species of checkerspot butterflies, 10.1007/s004420100775
  42. Wallis de Vries, De Levende Natuur, 104, 11 (2003)
  43. Warren, Biol. Conserv., 55, 37 (1991)
  44. Warren, Nature, 414, 65 (2001)
  45. White, Research techniques in animal ecology: controversies and consequences, 288 (2000)
Bibliographic reference Schtickzelle, Nicolas ; Wallis De Vries, Michiel, F. ; Baguette, Michel. Using surrogate data in population viability analysis : the case of the critically endangered cranberry fritillary butterfly. In: Oikos : a journal of ecology, Vol. 109, no. 1, p. 89-100 (2005)
Permanent URL http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71787