The development of bicycle use in European countries since 1990.

Schepers, Paul [SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research,Utrecht University] Helbich, M [Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Utrecht University] Hagenzieker, M [Transport and Planning Department, Delft University of Technology & TØI Institute of Transport Economics] de Geus, Bas [UCL] Dozza, Marco [Department of Mechanics and Maritime Sciences, Chalmers University of Technology] Agerholm, N [Department of the Built Environment, Aalborg University] Niska, A, [Department of Infrastructure Maintenance, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI)] Airaksinen N [Kuopio Musculoskeletal Research Unit (KMRU), University of Eastern Finland] Papon, Francis [AME-DEST, Univ Gustave Eiffel, IFSTTAR] Gerike, Regine [Technische Universität Dresden] Bjørnskau T [TØI Institute of Transport Economics] Aldred, R [University of Westminster] et al.[show all]

(eng) High pre-World-War-2 modal shares of cycling in European countries sharply decreased during the post-war decades. In the 1990s, European governments introduced policies to increase bicycle use. However, a database or longitudinal study on the development of bicycle use in European countries is lacking. The goal of this paper is to examine to what degree the amount of cycling has increased over the past decades, also in the context of potentially competing modes. Distances travelled per capita according to National Travel Surveys have been collected and were aggregated to seven 4-year periods between 1990 and 2017. Multilevel regression analyses on distance travelled per capita by bicycle, on foot, by public transport, and by passenger car were conducted for all countries. Additionally, analyses were conducted for which the 14 countries with data on bicycle use were divided in three groups categorised according to distance cycled per capita at the beginning of the study period. Distance cycled per capita per year ranged from some 30 km to 900 km. The results of all four regression analyses suggested that distance cycled per capita remained fairly constant over the past decades. Germany is an exception with some 150 km per capita more, in relative terms a 50% increase. Geographical variation in development is evidenced by a substantial increase of distance cycled per inhabitant in the capital cities of the countries included in the study. The outcomes suggest distance travelled on foot and by public transport (bus, tram, and metro) also remained fairly constant while the distance travelled by car increased by about 10% during the study period. We did not find indications that cycling substitutes travel on foot, by public transport or by car.