Klein, François
[UCL]
Abram, Nerilie J.
[Research School of Earth Sciences, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia]
Curran, Mark A. J.
[Australian Antarctic Division, 203 Channel Highway, Kingston, Tasmania 7050, Australia]
Goosse, Hugues
[UCL]
Goursaud, Sentia
[Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (IPSL/CEA-CNRS-UVSQ UMR 8212), CEA Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France]
Masson-Delmotte, Valérie
[Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (IPSL/CEA-CNRS-UVSQ UMR 8212), CEA Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France]
Moy, Andrew
[Australian Antarctic Division, 203 Channel Highway, Kingston, Tasmania 7050, Australia]
Neukom, Raphael
[Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research & Institute of Geography, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland]
Orsi, Anaïs
[Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (IPSL/CEA-CNRS-UVSQ UMR 8212), CEA Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette CEDEX, France]
Sjolte, Jesper
[Department of Geology – Quaternary Science, Lund University, Sölvegatan 12, 223 62, Lund, Sweden]
Steiger, Nathan
[Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA]
Stenni, Barbara
[Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice, Italy]
Werner, Martin
[Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany]
The Antarctic temperature changes over the past millennia remain more uncertain than in many other continental regions. This has several origins: (1) the number of high-resolution ice cores
Abram Nerilie J., , McGregor Helen V., Tierney Jessica E., Evans Michael N., McKay Nicholas P., Kaufman Darrell S., Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents, 10.1038/nature19082
Bhend J., Franke J., Folini D., Wild M., Brönnimann S., An ensemble-based approach to climate reconstructions, 10.5194/cp-8-963-2012
Casado Mathieu, Landais Amaelle, Picard Ghislain, Münch Thomas, Laepple Thomas, Stenni Barbara, Dreossi Giuliano, Ekaykin Alexey, Arnaud Laurent, Genthon Christophe, Touzeau Alexandra, Masson-Delmotte Valérie, Jouzel Jean, Archival of the water stable isotope signal in East Antarctic ice cores, 10.5194/tc-2016-263
Dee D. P., Uppala S. M., Simmons A. J., Berrisford P., Poli P., Kobayashi S., Andrae U., Balmaseda M. A., Balsamo G., Bauer P., Bechtold P., Beljaars A. C. M., van de Berg L., Bidlot J., Bormann N., Delsol C., Dragani R., Fuentes M., Geer A. J., Haimberger L., Healy S. B., Hersbach H., Hólm E. V., Isaksen L., Kållberg P., Köhler M., Matricardi M., McNally A. P., Monge-Sanz B. M., Morcrette J.-J., Park B.-K., Peubey C., de Rosnay P., Tavolato C., Thépaut J.-N., Vitart F., The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system, 10.1002/qj.828
DUBINKINA SVETLANA, GOOSSE HUGUES, SALLAZ-DAMAZ YOANN, CRESPIN ELISABETH, CRUCIFIX MICHEL, TESTING A PARTICLE FILTER TO RECONSTRUCT CLIMATE CHANGES OVER THE PAST CENTURIES, 10.1142/s0218127411030763
Dufresne J.-L., Foujols M.-A., Denvil S., Caubel A., Marti O., Aumont O., Balkanski Y., Bekki S., Bellenger H., Benshila R., Bony S., Bopp L., Braconnot P., Brockmann P., Cadule P., Cheruy F., Codron F., Cozic A., Cugnet D., de Noblet N., Duvel J.-P., Ethé C., Fairhead L., Fichefet T., Flavoni S., Friedlingstein P., Grandpeix J.-Y., Guez L., Guilyardi E., Hauglustaine D., Hourdin F., Idelkadi A., Ghattas J., Joussaume S., Kageyama M., Krinner G., Labetoulle S., Lahellec A., Lefebvre M.-P., Lefevre F., Levy C., Li Z. X., Lloyd J., Lott F., Madec G., Mancip M., Marchand M., Masson S., Meurdesoif Y., Mignot J., Musat I., Parouty S., Polcher J., Rio C., Schulz M., Swingedouw D., Szopa S., Talandier C., Terray P., Viovy N., Vuichard N., Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5, 10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1
Ekaykin A.A., Kozachek A.V., Lipenkov V.Ya., Shibaev Yu.A., Multiple climate shifts in the Southern Hemisphere over the past three centuries based on central Antarctic snow pits and core studies, 10.3189/2014aog66a189
Gent Peter R., Danabasoglu Gokhan, Donner Leo J., Holland Marika M., Hunke Elizabeth C., Jayne Steve R., Lawrence David M., Neale Richard B., Rasch Philip J., Vertenstein Mariana, Worley Patrick H., Yang Zong-Liang, Zhang Minghua, The Community Climate System Model Version 4, 10.1175/2011jcli4083.1
Goosse Hugues, Reconstructed and simulated temperature asymmetry between continents in both hemispheres over the last centuries, 10.1007/s00382-016-3154-z
Goosse Hugues, Renssen Hans, Timmermann Axel, Bradley Raymond S., Mann Michael E., Using paleoclimate proxy-data to select optimal realisations in an ensemble of simulations of the climate of the past millennium, 10.1007/s00382-006-0128-6
Goosse H., Braida M., Crosta X., Mairesse A., Masson-Delmotte V., Mathiot P., Neukom R., Oerter H., Philippon G., Renssen H., Stenni B., van Ommen T., Verleyen E., Antarctic temperature changes during the last millennium: evaluation of simulations and reconstructions, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.003
Goursaud Sentia, Masson-Delmotte Valérie, Favier Vincent, Preunkert Susanne, Fily Michel, Gallée Hubert, Jourdain Bruno, Legrand Michel, Magand Olivier, Minster Bénédicte, Werner Martin, A 60-year ice-core record of regional climate from Adélie Land, coastal Antarctica, 10.5194/tc-11-343-2017
Goursaud Sentia, Masson-Delmotte Valérie, Favier Vincent, Orsi Anaïs, Werner Martin, Water stable isotope spatio-temporal variability in Antarctica in 1960–2013: observations and simulations from the ECHAM5-wiso atmospheric general circulation model, 10.5194/cp-14-923-2018
Hakim Gregory J., Emile-Geay Julien, Steig Eric J., Noone David, Anderson David M., Tardif Robert, Steiger Nathan, Perkins Walter A., The last millennium climate reanalysis project: Framework and first results : LAST MILLENNIUM REANALYSIS, 10.1002/2016jd024751
IAEA/WMO: Global Network of Isotopes in Precipitation, The GNIP Database,
available at: http://www.iaea.org/water, last access: 15 January 2018. a
Jones Julie M., Gille Sarah T., Goosse Hugues, Abram Nerilie J., Canziani Pablo O., Charman Dan J., Clem Kyle R., Crosta Xavier, de Lavergne Casimir, Eisenman Ian, England Matthew H., Fogt Ryan L., Frankcombe Leela M., Marshall Gareth J., Masson-Delmotte Valérie, Morrison Adele K., Orsi Anaïs J., Raphael Marilyn N., Renwick James A., Schneider David P., Simpkins Graham R., Steig Eric J., Stenni Barbara, Swingedouw Didier, Vance Tessa R., Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate, 10.1038/nclimate3103
Jones T. R., Cuffey K. M., White J. W. C., Steig E. J., Buizert C., Markle B. R., McConnell J. R., Sigl M., Water isotope diffusion in the WAIS Divide ice core during the Holocene and last glacial : WDC Diffusion Lengths, 10.1002/2016jf003938
Jouzel J., Magnitude of isotope/temperature scaling for interpretation of central Antarctic ice cores, 10.1029/2002jd002677
Jouzel J., Alley R. B., Cuffey K. M., Dansgaard W., Grootes P., Hoffmann G., Johnsen S. J., Koster R. D., Peel D., Shuman C. A., Stievenard M., Stuiver M., White J., Validity of the temperature reconstruction from water isotopes in ice cores, 10.1029/97jc01283
Kalnay, E.: Atmospheric modeling, data assimilation and predictability,
Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK, 2003. a
Klein François, Goosse Hugues, Reconstructing East African rainfall and Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures over the last centuries using data assimilation, 10.1007/s00382-017-3853-0
Klein François, Goosse Hugues, Graham Nicholas E., Verschuren Dirk, Comparison of simulated and reconstructed variations in East African hydroclimate over the last millennium, 10.5194/cp-12-1499-2016
Klein, F., Abram, N. J., Curran, M. A. J., Goosse, H., Goursaud, S.,
Masson-Delmotte, V., Moy, A., Neukom, R., Orsi, A., Jesper, S., Steiger, N.,
Stenni, B., and Werner, M.: Data assimilation-based surface temperature
reconstructions over the last two millennia over Antarctica, Data set,
Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2579204, 2019. a
Laepple Thomas, Münch Thomas, Casado Mathieu, Hoerhold Maria, Landais Amaelle, Kipfstuhl Sepp, On the similarity and apparent cycles of isotopic variations in East Antarctic snow pits, 10.5194/tc-12-169-2018
Lorenz, E. N.: Empirical orthogonal functions and statistical weather
prediction, Tech. rep., Statistical Forecasting Scientific Rep. 1,
Department of Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge,
MA, 1956. a
Masson-Delmotte V., Dreyfus G., Braconnot P., Johnsen S., Jouzel J., Kageyama M., Landais A., Loutre M.-F., Nouet J., Parrenin F., Raynaud D., Stenni B., Tuenter E., Past temperature reconstructions from deep ice cores: relevance for future climate change, 10.5194/cp-2-145-2006
Masson-Delmotte V., Hou S., Ekaykin A., Jouzel J., Aristarain A., Bernardo R. T., Bromwich D., Cattani O., Delmotte M., Falourd S., Frezzotti M., Gallée H., Genoni L., Isaksson E., Landais A., Helsen M. M., Hoffmann G., Lopez J., Morgan V., Motoyama H., Noone D., Oerter H., Petit J. R., Royer A., Uemura R., Schmidt G. A., Schlosser E., Simões J. C., Steig E. J., Stenni B., Stievenard M., van den Broeke M. R., van de Wal R. S. W., van de Berg W. J., Vimeux F., White J. W. C., A Review of Antarctic Surface Snow Isotopic Composition: Observations, Atmospheric Circulation, and Isotopic Modeling*, 10.1175/2007jcli2139.1
Matsikaris A., Widmann M., Jungclaus J., On-line and off-line data assimilation in palaeoclimatology: a case study, 10.5194/cp-11-81-2015
Münch Thomas, Kipfstuhl Sepp, Freitag Johannes, Meyer Hanno, Laepple Thomas, Constraints on post-depositional isotope modifications in East Antarctic firn from analysing temporal changes of isotope profiles, 10.5194/tc-11-2175-2017
Nicolas Julien P., Bromwich David H., New Reconstruction of Antarctic Near-Surface Temperatures: Multidecadal Trends and Reliability of Global Reanalyses*,+, 10.1175/jcli-d-13-00733.1
Orsi Anais J., Cornuelle Bruce D., Severinghaus Jeffrey P., Little Ice Age cold interval in West Antarctica: Evidence from borehole temperature at the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) Divide : WAIS DIVIDE TEMPERATURE, 10.1029/2012gl051260
Otto-Bliesner Bette L., Joussaume Sylvie, Braconnot Pascale, Harrison Sandy P., Abe-Ouchi Ayako, Modeling and Data Syntheses of Past Climates: Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase II Workshop; Estes Park, Colorado, 15–19 September 2008, 10.1029/2009eo110013
Otto-Bliesner Bette L., Brady Esther C., Fasullo John, Jahn Alexandra, Landrum Laura, Stevenson Samantha, Rosenbloom Nan, Mai Andrew, Strand Gary, Climate Variability and Change since 850 CE: An Ensemble Approach with the Community Earth System Model, 10.1175/bams-d-14-00233.1
, Continental-scale temperature variability in PMIP3 simulations and PAGES 2k regional temperature reconstructions over the past millennium, 10.5194/cp-11-1673-2015
, Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia, 10.1038/ngeo1797
Pendergrass Angeline G., Hakim Gregory J., Battisti David S., Roe Gerard, Coupled Air–Mixed Layer Temperature Predictability for Climate Reconstruction, 10.1175/2011jcli4094.1
Rayner N. A., Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, 10.1029/2002jd002670
Ritter François, Steen-Larsen Hans Christian, Werner Martin, Masson-Delmotte Valérie, Orsi Anais, Behrens Melanie, Birnbaum Gerit, Freitag Johannes, Risi Camille, Kipfstuhl Sepp, Isotopic exchange on the diurnal scale between near-surface snow and lower atmospheric water vapor at Kohnen station, East Antarctica, 10.5194/tc-10-1647-2016
Roche D. M., δ<sup>18</sup>O water isotope in the <i>i</i>LOVECLIM model (version 1.0) – Part 1: Implementation and verification, 10.5194/gmd-6-1481-2013
Schlosser Elisabeth, Reijmer Carleen, Oerter Hans, Graf Wolfgang, The influence of precipitation origin on the δ18O–T relationship at Neumayer
station, Ekstrmisen, Antarctica, 10.3189/172756404781814276
Schmidt G. A., Jungclaus J. H., Ammann C. M., Bard E., Braconnot P., Crowley T. J., Delaygue G., Joos F., Krivova N. A., Muscheler R., Otto-Bliesner B. L., Pongratz J., Shindell D. T., Solanki S. K., Steinhilber F., Vieira L. E. A., Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1.0), 10.5194/gmd-4-33-2011
Schmidt Gavin A., Kelley Max, Nazarenko Larissa, Ruedy Reto, Russell Gary L., Aleinov Igor, Bauer Mike, Bauer Susanne E., Bhat Maharaj K., Bleck Rainer, Canuto Vittorio, Chen Yong-Hua, Cheng Ye, Clune Thomas L., Del Genio Anthony, de Fainchtein Rosalinda, Faluvegi Greg, Hansen James E., Healy Richard J., Kiang Nancy Y., Koch Dorothy, Lacis Andy A., LeGrande Allegra N., Lerner Jean, Lo Ken K., Matthews Elaine E., Menon Surabi, Miller Ron L., Oinas Valdar, Oloso Amidu O., Perlwitz Jan P., Puma Michael J., Putman William M., Rind David, Romanou Anastasia, Sato Makiko, Shindell Drew T., Sun Shan, Syed Rahman A., Tausnev Nick, Tsigaridis Kostas, Unger Nadine, Voulgarakis Apostolos, Yao Mao-Sung, Zhang Jinlun, Configuration and assessment of the GISS ModelE2 contributions to the CMIP5 archive : GISS MODEL-E2 CMIP5 SIMULATIONS, 10.1002/2013ms000265
Schneider David P., Steig Eric J., van Ommen Tas D., Dixon Daniel A., Mayewski Paul A., Jones Julie M., Bitz Cecilia M., Antarctic temperatures over the past two centuries from ice cores, 10.1029/2006gl027057
Sime Louise C., Tindall Julia C., Wolff Eric W., Connolley William M., Valdes Paul J., Antarctic isotopic thermometer during a CO2forced warming event, 10.1029/2008jd010395
Sjolte Jesper, Sturm Christophe, Adolphi Florian, Vinther Bo M., Werner Martin, Lohmann Gerrit, Muscheler Raimund, Solar and volcanic forcing of North Atlantic climate inferred from a process-based reconstruction, 10.5194/cp-14-1179-2018
Smerdon Jason E., Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods: pseudoproxy experiments : Pseudoproxy experiments, 10.1002/wcc.149
Smerdon Jason E., Coats Sloan, Ault Toby R., Model-dependent spatial skill in pseudoproxy experiments testing climate field reconstruction methods for the Common Era, 10.1007/s00382-015-2684-0
Smith Karen L., Polvani Lorenzo M., Spatial patterns of recent Antarctic surface temperature trends and the importance of natural variability: lessons from multiple reconstructions and the CMIP5 models, 10.1007/s00382-016-3230-4
Sodemann Harald, Stohl Andreas, Asymmetries in the moisture origin of Antarctic precipitation, 10.1029/2009gl040242
Steiger, N. J.: Historical climate model output of ECHAM5-wiso from
1871–2011 at T106 resolution, Data set, Zenodo,
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1249604, 2018. a
Steiger Nathan J., Hakim Gregory J., Steig Eric J., Battisti David S., Roe Gerard H., Assimilation of Time-Averaged Pseudoproxies for Climate Reconstruction, 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00693.1
Steiger Nathan J., Steig Eric J., Dee Sylvia G., Roe Gerard H., Hakim Gregory J., Climate reconstruction using data assimilation of water isotope ratios from ice cores : ASSIMILATION OF ICE CORE ISOTOPES, 10.1002/2016jd026011
Steiger Nathan J., Smerdon Jason E., Cook Edward R., Cook Benjamin I., A reconstruction of global hydroclimate and dynamical variables over the Common Era, 10.1038/sdata.2018.86
Stenni, B., Curran, M. A. J., Abram, N. J., Orsi, A., Goursaud, S.,
Masson-Delmotte, V., Neukom, R., Goosse, H., Divine, D., van Ommen, T.,
Steig, E. J., Dixon, D. A., Thomas, E. R., Bertler, N. A. N., Isaksson, E.,
Ekaykin, A., Werner, M., and Frezzotti, M.: Antarctic climate variability on
regional and continental scales over the last 2000 years, Clim. Past, 13,
1609–1634, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-1609-2017, 2017. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j, k, l, m, n, o, p, q, r, s, t, u, v, w, x, y, z, aa, ab, ac, ad, ae, af, ag, ah, ai, aj, ak, al, am, an, ao, ap
Stevens Bjorn, Giorgetta Marco, Esch Monika, Mauritsen Thorsten, Crueger Traute, Rast Sebastian, Salzmann Marc, Schmidt Hauke, Bader Jürgen, Block Karoline, Brokopf Renate, Fast Irina, Kinne Stefan, Kornblueh Luis, Lohmann Ulrike, Pincus Robert, Reichler Thomas, Roeckner Erich, Atmospheric component of the MPI-M Earth System Model: ECHAM6 : ECHAM6, 10.1002/jame.20015
Taylor Karl E., Stouffer Ronald J., Meehl Gerald A., An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design, 10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1
van Leeuwen Peter Jan, Particle Filtering in Geophysical Systems, 10.1175/2009mwr2835.1
Wang J., Emile-Geay J., Guillot D., Smerdon J. E., Rajaratnam B., Evaluating climate field reconstruction techniques using improved emulations of real-world conditions, 10.5194/cp-10-1-2014
Werner Martin, Langebroek Petra M., Carlsen Tim, Herold Marcus, Lohmann Gerrit, Stable water isotopes in the ECHAM5 general circulation model: Toward high-resolution isotope modeling on a global scale, 10.1029/2011jd015681
Werner M., Haese B., Xu X., Zhang X., Butzin M., Lohmann G., Glacial–interglacial changes in H<sub>2</sub><sup>18</sup>O, HDO and deuterium excess – results from the fully coupled ECHAM5/MPI-OM Earth system model, 10.5194/gmd-9-647-2016
Widmann M., Goosse H., van der Schrier G., Schnur R., Barkmeijer J., Using data assimilation to study extratropical Northern Hemisphere climate over the last millennium, 10.5194/cp-6-627-2010
Wu, T., Song, L., Li, W., Wang, Z., Zhang, H., Xin, X., Zhang, Y., Zhang, L.,
Li, J., Wu, F., Liu, Y., Zhang, F., Shi, X., Chu, M., Zhang, J., Fang, Y.,
Wang, F., Lu, Y., Liu, X., Wei, M., Liu, Q., Zhou, W., Dong, M., Zhao, Q.,
Ji, J., Li, L., and Zhou, M.: An overview of BCC climate system model
development and application for climate change studies, J. Meteorol. Res.,
28, 34–56, 2014. a
Bibliographic reference
Klein, François ; Abram, Nerilie J. ; Curran, Mark A. J. ; Goosse, Hugues ; Goursaud, Sentia ; et. al. Assessing the robustness of Antarctic temperature reconstructions over the past 2 millennia using pseudoproxy and data assimilation experiments. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 15, no.2, p. 661-684 (2019)