User menu

Accès à distance ? S'identifier sur le proxy UCLouvain

On the sensitivity of Antarctic sea ice model biases to atmospheric forcing uncertainties

Primary tabs

download
  • Open access
  • PDF
  • 3.15 M
Barthélemy, Antoine [UCL] Goosse, Hugues [UCL] Fichefet, Thierry [UCL] Lecomte, Olivier [UCL]

Although atmospheric reanalyses are an extremely valuable tool to study the climate of polar regions, they suffer from large uncertainties in these data-poor areas. In this work, we examine how Antarctic sea ice biases in an ocean-sea ice model are related to these forcing uncertainties. Three experiments are conducted in which the NEMOLIM model is driven by different atmospheric forcing sets. The minimum ice extent, the ice motion and the ice thickness are sensitive to the reanalysis chosen to drive the model, while the wintertime ice extent and inner pack concentrations are barely affected. The analysis of sea ice concentration budgets allows identifying the processes leading to differences between the experiments, and also indicates that large and similar errors compared to observations are present in all three cases. Our assessment of the influence of forcing inaccuracies on the simulated Antarctic sea ice allows disentangling two types of model biases: the ones that can be reduced thanks to better atmospheric forcings, and those that would require improvements of the physics of the ice or ocean model.

Document type Article de périodique (Journal article) – Article de recherche
Access type Accès libre
Publication date 2018
Language Anglais
Journal information "Climate Dynamics" - Vol. 51, pp.1585–1603 (2018)
Peer reviewed yes
issn 0930-7575
e-issn 1432-0894
Publication status Publié
Affiliation UCL - SST/ELI/ELIC - Earth & Climate
Links
  1. Barthélemy Antoine, Fichefet Thierry, Goosse Hugues, Spatial heterogeneity of ocean surface boundary conditions under sea ice, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.05.003
  2. Barthélemy Antoine, Fichefet Thierry, Goosse Hugues, Madec Gurvan, A multi-column vertical mixing scheme to parameterize the heterogeneity of oceanic conditions under sea ice, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.05.005
  3. Berliand ME, Strokina TG (1980) Global distribution of the total amount of clouds (in Russian). Tech. rep., Hydrometeorological Publishing House, Leningrad
  4. Blanke Bruno, Delecluse Pascale, Variability of the Tropical Atlantic Ocean Simulated by a General Circulation Model with Two Different Mixed-Layer Physics, 10.1175/1520-0485(1993)023<1363:vottao>2.0.co;2
  5. Bouillon Sylvain, Fichefet Thierry, Legat Vincent, Madec Gurvan, The elastic–viscous–plastic method revisited, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2013.05.013
  6. Bracegirdle Thomas J., Stephenson David B., Turner John, Phillips Tony, The importance of sea ice area biases in 21st century multimodel projections of Antarctic temperature and precipitation : SEA ICE BIASES AND ANTARCTIC PROJECTIONS, 10.1002/2015gl067055
  7. Brodeau Laurent, Barnier Bernard, Treguier Anne-Marie, Penduff Thierry, Gulev Sergei, An ERA40-based atmospheric forcing for global ocean circulation models, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2009.10.005
  8. Bromwich David H., Fogt Ryan L., Hodges Kevin I., Walsh John E., A tropospheric assessment of the ERA-40, NCEP, and JRA-25 global reanalyses in the polar regions : REANALYSES IN THE POLAR REGIONS, 10.1029/2006jd007859
  9. Cavalieri DJ, Parkinson CL, Gloersen P, Zwally H (1996) Sea Ice Concentrations from Nimbus-7 SMMR and DMSP SSM/I-SSMIS Passive Microwave Data. [1979–2010], NASA National Snow and Ice Data Center Distributed Active Archive Center, Boulder, Colorado, USA, doi: 10.5067/8GQ8LZQVL0VL
  10. Chaudhuri Ayan H., Ponte Rui M., Forget Gael, Impact of uncertainties in atmospheric boundary conditions on ocean model solutions, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.02.003
  11. Dai Aiguo, Trenberth Kevin E., Estimates of Freshwater Discharge from Continents: Latitudinal and Seasonal Variations, 10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0660:eofdfc>2.0.co;2
  12. Dansereau Véronique, Weiss Jérôme, Saramito Pierre, Lattes Philippe, A Maxwell elasto-brittle rheology for sea ice modelling, 10.5194/tc-10-1339-2016
  13. Depoorter M. A., Bamber J. L., Griggs J. A., Lenaerts J. T. M., Ligtenberg S. R. M., van den Broeke M. R., Moholdt G., Calving fluxes and basal melt rates of Antarctic ice shelves, 10.1038/nature12567
  14. Dussin R, Barnier B, Brodeau L, Molines JM (2016) The making of the DRAKKAR Forcing Set DFS5. Drakkar/myocean report 01-04-16, Laboratoire de Glaciologie et de Géophysique de l’Environnement, Université de Grenoble, Grenoble, France
  15. EUMETSAT (2015) Global sea ice concentration reprocessing dataset 1978-2015 (v1.2). http://osisaf.met.no , Ocean and Sea Ice Satelitte Application Facility, Norwegian and Danish Meteorological Institutes
  16. Fetterer F, Knowles K, Meier W, Savoie M (2016) Sea ice index, version 2. Updated daily. National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, Colorado. doi: 10.7265/N5736NV7
  17. Fowler C, Maslanik J, Emery W, Tschudi M (2013) Polar Pathfinder Daily 25 km EASE-grid sea ice motion vectors. version 2. [2003–2010]. National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder. doi: 10.5067/O57VAIT2AYYY
  18. Gent Peter R., Mcwilliams James C., Isopycnal Mixing in Ocean Circulation Models, 10.1175/1520-0485(1990)020<0150:imiocm>2.0.co;2
  19. Goosse H (1997) Modelling the large-scale behaviour of the coupled ocean-sea-ice system. PhD thesis, Université catholique de Louvain
  20. Haid Verena, Timmermann Ralph, Ebner Lars, Heinemann Günther, Atmospheric forcing of coastal polynyas in the south-western Weddell Sea, 10.1017/s0954102014000893
  21. Heil P., Fowler C.W., Maslanik J. A., Emery W. J., Allison I., A comparison of East Antarctic sea-ice motion derived using drifting buoys and remote sensing, 10.3189/172756401781818374
  22. Hobbs William R., Massom Rob, Stammerjohn Sharon, Reid Phillip, Williams Guy, Meier Walter, A review of recent changes in Southern Ocean sea ice, their drivers and forcings, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.008
  23. Holland Paul R., Kimura Noriaki, Observed Concentration Budgets of Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice, 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0121.1
  24. Holland Paul R., Kwok Ron, Wind-driven trends in Antarctic sea-ice drift, 10.1038/ngeo1627
  25. Hunke Elizabeth C., Holland Marika M., Global atmospheric forcing data for Arctic ice-ocean modeling, 10.1029/2006jc003640
  26. Iovino Doroteaciro, Masina Simona, Storto Andrea, Cipollone Andrea, Stepanov Vladimir N., A 1/16° eddying simulation of the global NEMO sea-ice–ocean system, 10.5194/gmd-9-2665-2016
  27. Ivanova N., Pedersen L. T., Tonboe R. T., Kern S., Heygster G., Lavergne T., Sørensen A., Saldo R., Dybkjær G., Brucker L., Shokr M., Inter-comparison and evaluation of sea ice algorithms: towards further identification of challenges and optimal approach using passive microwave observations, 10.5194/tc-9-1797-2015
  28. Jones R. W., Renfrew I. A., Orr A., Webber B. G. M., Holland D. M., Lazzara M. A., Evaluation of four global reanalysis products using in situ observations in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, Antarctica : Amundsen Sea Reanalyses Evaluation, 10.1002/2015jd024680
  29. Kalnay E., Kanamitsu M., Kistler R., Collins W., Deaven D., Gandin L., Iredell M., Saha S., White G., Woollen J., Zhu Y., Leetmaa A., Reynolds R., Chelliah M., Ebisuzaki W., Higgins W., Janowiak J., Mo K. C., Ropelewski C., Wang J., Jenne Roy, Joseph Dennis, The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project, 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:tnyrp>2.0.co;2
  30. Kimura Noriaki, Nishimura Akira, Tanaka Yohei, Yamaguchi Hajime, Influence of winter sea-ice motion on summer ice cover in the Arctic, 10.3402/polar.v32i0.20193
  31. KOBAYASHI Shinya, OTA Yukinari, HARADA Yayoi, EBITA Ayataka, MORIYA Masami, ONODA Hirokatsu, ONOGI Kazutoshi, KAMAHORI Hirotaka, KOBAYASHI Chiaki, ENDO Hirokazu, MIYAOKA Kengo, TAKAHASHI Kiyotoshi, The JRA-55 Reanalysis: General Specifications and Basic Characteristics, 10.2151/jmsj.2015-001
  32. Kurtz N. T., Markus T., Satellite observations of Antarctic sea ice thickness and volume : ANTARCTIC SEA ICE THICKNESS, 10.1029/2012jc008141
  33. Large WG, Yeager SG (2004) Diurnal to decadal global forcing for ocean and sea-ice models: The data sets and flux climatologies. Tech. rep., National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder
  34. Lecomte O., Goosse H., Fichefet T., Holland P.R., Uotila P., Zunz V., Kimura N., Impact of surface wind biases on the Antarctic sea ice concentration budget in climate models, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.08.001
  35. Lefebvre W., Goosse H., Influence of the Southern Annular Mode on the sea ice-ocean system: the role of the thermal and mechanical forcing, 10.5194/os-1-145-2005
  36. Lefebvre W., Influence of the Southern Annular Mode on the sea ice–ocean system, 10.1029/2004jc002403
  37. Lindsay R., Wensnahan M., Schweiger A., Zhang J., Evaluation of Seven Different Atmospheric Reanalysis Products in the Arctic*, 10.1175/jcli-d-13-00014.1
  38. Locarnini RA, Mishonov AV, Antonov JI, Boyer TP, Garcia HE, Baranova OK, Zweng MM, Paver CR, Reagan JR, Johnson DR, Hamilton M, Seidov D (2013) World Ocean Atlas 2013 Volume 1: Temperature. In: Levitus S (ed) mishonov technical ed., noaa atlas nesdis. National Centers for Environmental Information, p 73, 40
  39. Lüpkes Christof, Gryanik Vladimir M., Hartmann Jörg, Andreas Edgar L., A parametrization, based on sea ice morphology, of the neutral atmospheric drag coefficients for weather prediction and climate models : NEUTRAL DRAG COEFFICIENTS OVER SEA ICE, 10.1029/2012jd017630
  40. Madec G (2008) NEMO ocean engine. Note du Pôle de modélisation 27. Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, France, iSSN No 1288-1619
  41. Madec Gurvan, Imbard Maurice, A global ocean mesh to overcome the North Pole singularity, 10.1007/bf00211684
  42. Massonnet F., Fichefet T., Goosse H., Vancoppenolle M., Mathiot P., König Beatty C., On the influence of model physics on simulations of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice, 10.5194/tc-5-687-2011
  43. Massonnet François, Mathiot Pierre, Fichefet Thierry, Goosse Hugues, König Beatty Christof, Vancoppenolle Martin, Lavergne Thomas, A model reconstruction of the Antarctic sea ice thickness and volume changes over 1980–2008 using data assimilation, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2013.01.003
  44. Merino Nacho, Le Sommer Julien, Durand Gael, Jourdain Nicolas C., Madec Gurvan, Mathiot Pierre, Tournadre Jean, Antarctic icebergs melt over the Southern Ocean: Climatology and impact on sea ice, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.05.001
  45. Nihashi Sohey, Ohshima Kay I., Circumpolar Mapping of Antarctic Coastal Polynyas and Landfast Sea Ice: Relationship and Variability, 10.1175/jcli-d-14-00369.1
  46. Pellichero Violaine, Sallée Jean-Baptiste, Schmidtko Sunke, Roquet Fabien, Charrassin Jean-Benoît, The ocean mixed layer under Southern Ocean sea-ice: Seasonal cycle and forcing : OCEAN MIXED LAYER UNDER SOUTHERN SEA-ICE, 10.1002/2016jc011970
  47. Rousset C., Vancoppenolle M., Madec G., Fichefet T., Flavoni S., Barthélemy A., Benshila R., Chanut J., Levy C., Masson S., Vivier F., The Louvain-La-Neuve sea ice model LIM3.6: global and regional capabilities, 10.5194/gmd-8-2991-2015
  48. Schroeter Serena, Hobbs Will, Bindoff Nathaniel L., Interactions between Antarctic sea ice and large-scale atmospheric modes in CMIP5 models, 10.5194/tc-11-789-2017
  49. Shu Q., Song Z., Qiao F., Assessment of sea ice simulations in the CMIP5 models, 10.5194/tc-9-399-2015
  50. Stössel Achim, Zhang Zhaoru, Vihma Timo, The effect of alternative real-time wind forcing on Southern Ocean sea ice simulations, 10.1029/2011jc007328
  51. Timmermann Ralph, Utilizing the ASPeCt sea ice thickness data set to evaluate a global coupled sea ice–ocean model, 10.1029/2003jc002242
  52. Timmermann Ralph, Goosse Hugues, Madec Gurvan, Fichefet Thierry, Ethe Christian, Dulière Valérie, On the representation of high latitude processes in the ORCA-LIM global coupled sea ice–ocean model, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2003.12.009
  53. Tonboe Rasmus T., Eastwood Steinar, Lavergne Thomas, Sørensen Atle M., Rathmann Nicholas, Dybkjær Gorm, Pedersen Leif Toudal, Høyer Jacob L., Kern Stefan, The EUMETSAT sea ice concentration climate data record, 10.5194/tc-10-2275-2016
  54. Trenberth KE, Large WG, Olson JG (1989) Global Ocean Wind Stress, climatology and monthly, by Trenberth et al. Digital media. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder
  55. Tsamados M., Feltham D. L., Wilchinsky A. V., Impact of a new anisotropic rheology on simulations of Arctic sea ice : IMPACT OF A NEW ANISOTROPIC RHEOLOGY ON SIMULATIONS OF ARCTIC SEA ICE, 10.1029/2012jc007990
  56. Tsamados Michel, Feltham Daniel L., Schroeder David, Flocco Daniela, Farrell Sinead L., Kurtz Nathan, Laxon Seymour W., Bacon Sheldon, Impact of Variable Atmospheric and Oceanic Form Drag on Simulations of Arctic Sea Ice*, 10.1175/jpo-d-13-0215.1
  57. Turner John, Bracegirdle Thomas J., Phillips Tony, Marshall Gareth J., Hosking J. Scott, An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models, 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00068.1
  58. Turner John, Hosking J. Scott, Marshall Gareth J., Phillips Tony, Bracegirdle Thomas J., Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low, 10.1007/s00382-015-2708-9
  59. Uotila P., O’Farrell S., Marsland S.J., Bi D., A sea-ice sensitivity study with a global ocean-ice model, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.04.002
  60. Uotila P., Holland P.R., Vihma T., Marsland S.J., Kimura N., Is realistic Antarctic sea-ice extent in climate models the result of excessive ice drift?, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.04.004
  61. Uotila Petteri, Iovino Doroteaciro, Vancoppenolle Martin, Lensu Mikko, Rousset Clement, Comparing sea ice, hydrography and circulation between NEMO3.6 LIM3 and LIM2, 10.5194/gmd-10-1009-2017
  62. Vancoppenolle Martin, Fichefet Thierry, Goosse Hugues, Bouillon Sylvain, Madec Gurvan, Maqueda Miguel Angel Morales, Simulating the mass balance and salinity of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice. 1. Model description and validation, 10.1016/j.ocemod.2008.10.005
  63. Vancoppenolle Martin, Timmermann Ralph, Ackley Stephen F., Fichefet Thierry, Goosse Hugues, Heil Petra, Leonard Katherine C., Lieser Jan, Nicolaus Marcel, Papakyriakou Tim, Tison Jean-Louis, Assessment of radiation forcing data sets for large-scale sea ice models in the Southern Ocean, 10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.10.039
  64. Vihma Timo, Surface heat budget over the Weddell Sea: Buoy results and model comparisons, 10.1029/2000jc000372
  65. Wang Yang, Zhou Dong, Bunde Armin, Havlin Shlomo, Testing reanalysis data sets in Antarctica: Trends, persistence properties, and trend significance : TESTING REANALYSIS DATA SET IN ANTARCTICA, 10.1002/2016jd024864
  66. Wilchinsky Alexander V., Heorton Harold D. B. S., Feltham Daniel L., Holland Paul R., Study of the Impact of Ice Formation in Leads upon the Sea Ice Pack Mass Balance Using a New Frazil and Grease Ice Parameterization, 10.1175/jpo-d-14-0184.1
  67. Worby Anthony P., Geiger Cathleen A., Paget Matthew J., Van Woert Michael L., Ackley Stephen F., DeLiberty Tracy L., Thickness distribution of Antarctic sea ice, 10.1029/2007jc004254
  68. Zunz V., Goosse H., Massonnet F., How does internal variability influence the ability of CMIP5 models to reproduce the recent trend in Southern Ocean sea ice extent?, 10.5194/tc-7-451-2013
  69. Zweng M, Reagan J, Antonov J, Locarnini R, Mishonov A, Boyer T, Garcia H, Baranova O, Johnson D, DSeidov, Biddle M (2013) World Ocean Atlas 2013, Volume 2: Salinity. In: Levitus S (ed) mishonov technical ed., noaa atlas nesdis a. National Centers for Environmental Information, p 74, 39
Bibliographic reference Barthélemy, Antoine ; Goosse, Hugues ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Lecomte, Olivier. On the sensitivity of Antarctic sea ice model biases to atmospheric forcing uncertainties. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 51, pp.1585–1603 (2018)
Permanent URL http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/201673