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Unraveling the forcings controlling the vegetation and climate of the best orbital analogues for the present interglacial in SW Europe

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Oliveira, D Desprat,S Yin, Qiuzhen [UCL] Naughton, F Trigo, R Sánchez Goñi, MF

The suitability of MIS 11c and MIS 19c as analogues of our present interglacial and its natural evolution is still debated. Here we examine the regional expression of the Holocene and its orbital analogues over SW Iberia using a model–data comparison approach. Regional tree fraction and climate based on snapshot and transient experiments using the LOVECLIM model are evaluated against the terrestrial–marine profiles from Site U1385 documenting the regional vegetation and climatic changes. The pollen-based reconstructions show a larger forest optimum during the Holocene compared to MIS 11c and MIS 19c, putting into question their analogy in SW Europe. Pollen-based and model results indicate reduced MIS 11c forest cover compared to the Holocene primarily driven by lower winter precipitation, which is critical for Mediterranean forest development. Decreased precipitation was possibly induced by the amplified MIS 11c latitudinal insolation and temperature gradient that shifted the westerlies northwards. In contrast, the reconstructed lower forest optimum at MIS 19c is not reproduced by the simulations probably due to the lack of Eurasian ice sheets and its related feedbacks in the model. Transient experiments with time-varying insolation and CO2 reveal that the SW Iberian forest dynamics over the interglacials are mostly coupled to changes in winter precipitation mainly controlled by precession, CO2 playing a negligible role. Model simulations reproduce the observed persistent vegetation changes at millennial time scales in SW Iberia and the strong forest reductions marking the end of the interglacial “optimum”.

Document type Article de périodique (Journal article) – Article de recherche
Access type Accès interdit
Publication date 2017
Language Anglais
Journal information "Climate Dynamics" - Vol. 1, p. 1-20 (2017)
Peer reviewed yes
Publisher Springer
issn 0930-7575
e-issn 1432-0894
Publication status Publié
Affiliation UCL - SST/ELI/ELIC - Earth & Climate
Keywords Orbital Holocene analogues · Model–data comparison · Mediterranean vegetation · Marine pollen analysis · Insolation · CO2
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Bibliographic reference Oliveira, D ; Desprat,S ; Yin, Qiuzhen ; Naughton, F ; Trigo, R ; et. al. Unraveling the forcings controlling the vegetation and climate of the best orbital analogues for the present interglacial in SW Europe. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 1, p. 1-20 (2017)
Permanent URL http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/190425